Candidates wish for home state advantage in New York
April 14, 2016 - accent chair
JUDY WOODRUFF: First, a latest from a presidential campaign.
It is reduction than a week to go until electorate in New York state have their say, and a possibilities strike a hustings again today. A vital East Coast pursuit movement was a categorical focus.
SEN. BERNIE SANDERS (VT-I), Democratic Presidential Candidate: It’s a doubt of workers station adult for justice.
JOHN YANG: For a Democratic hopefuls, it was a day to acquire labor, forward of subsequent week’s New York primary.
PROTESTERS: Bernie! Bernie! Bernie!
JOHN YANG: Bernie Sanders assimilated distinguished Verizon workers in Brooklyn.
SEN. BERNIE SANDERS: Today, we are station up, not usually for probity for Verizon workers. You are station adult for millions of Americans who don’t have a union.
(CHEERING AND APPLAUSE)
SEN. BERNIE SANDERS: You’re revelation corporate America they can't have it all.
JOHN YANG: Hillary Clinton also slammed Verizon, observant in a statement: “The association wants to outsource some-more and some-more jobs. Verizon should do a right thing and lapse to negotiations.”
Clinton picked adult a support of an electrical workers kinship in New York, while Sanders snagged a movement workers.
SEN. BERNIE SANDERS: Thank we so many for your support.
JOHN YANG: The Vermont senator also landed his initial publicity from a Senate colleague. Oregon Democrat Jeff Merkley announced his subsidy in a New York Times op-ed, and on MSNBC, he explained given he pennyless ranks with 40 Democratic senators subsidy Clinton.
SEN. JEFF MERKLEY (D), Oregon: This unequivocally is all about a authority who has a boldest, many extreme prophesy on a biggest issues confronting America and a world.
JOHN YANG: Republican front-runner Donald Trump is stumping tonight in Pittsburgh. But, final night, a New York billionaire seemed in a CNN city hall, with mother Melania fasten in.
ANDERSON COOPER, CNN: Melania, do we ever wish to contend to him, put a mobile device down, that, like, it’s 2:00 a.m., and you’re still tweeting?
MELANIA TRUMP, Wife of Donald Trump: Anderson, if he would usually listen. we did many times.
MELANIA TRUMP: And we usually say, OK, do whatever we want. He’s an adult. He knows a consequences. And…
JOHN YANG: Trump also lashed out again during celebration manners that he says are robbing him of delegates. But Republican Party authority Reince Priebus dismissed behind on Twitter, fortifying a routine and saying: “It’s a shortcoming of they campaigns to know it. Complaints now? Give us all a break.”
Trump’s rivals, John Kasich and Ted Cruz, campaigned in Maryland and Pennsylvania this afternoon.
SEN. TED CRUZ (R-TX), Republican Presidential Candidate: we am here currently with a word of wish and encouragement. All opposite Pennsylvania, all opposite a this country, people are waking up, and assistance is on a way!
(CHEERING AND APPLAUSE)
SEN. TED CRUZ: We’re going to seed production jobs entrance behind to Pennsylvania, a fortitude of a center class.
JOHN YANG: Cruz has his possess CNN city gymnasium tonight.
For a “PBS NewsHour,” I’m John Yang.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Let’s spin now to a subsequent primary on a calendar.
On Tuesday, electorate in a state of New York will conduct to a polls.
Joining us to speak about a politics of a Empire State, Beth Fouhy, a comparison editor during MSNBC.com. She joins us from New York City. And from Albany, Karen DeWitt, collateral business arch for New York state Public Radio.
And we acquire both of you.
So, let’s start with a Republicans.
Beth, Fouhy to you, first. Break it down a tiny bit for us. Which electorate are authorised to opinion in a Republican primary? How are representatives comparison in New York?
BETH FOUHY, MSNBC: Well, a usually people who can opinion in a Republican primary, Judy, are Republicans. This is a sealed primary state, and that presents hurdles and opportunities to both side.
In terms of usually a altogether demeanour during a Republican field, Donald Trump is usually unequivocally winning here. He’s, of course, from New York. He’s a large alpha dog of New York, and that that standing fundamentally is moving him via a state.
Most of a polling that we have seen here, a open polling, shows him during or above 50 percent. He’s violence Senator Cruz and John Kasich by as many as 30 points in all this polling. So, right now, a large poser is either he can indeed tip 50 percent, Trump, get all a statewide unpledged delegates, and get 50 percent in those congressional districts, where he could unequivocally brush adult a whole lot delegates.
There’s a possibility, Judy, that he could indeed get each singular one of a 95 representatives in a state.
JUDY WOODRUFF: And, as we said, would have to win over 50 percent of a opinion in sequence to do that.
Karen DeWitt, to you. What about — do we determine with a approach Beth has laid it out? And is Trump stronger in one partial of a state or another?
KAREN DEWITT, New York State Public Radio: Well, yes, Trump doesn’t unequivocally have a unequivocally good get-out-the-vote bid or belligerent game, yet certain here is sketch people to a rallies. And they have been huge, to use his word. A lot of people have been entrance to them. He’s been all over a state.
It’s been unequivocally exciting, we think, for New York Republicans, as good as Democrats. we was articulate to a New York state Republican Party chair, Ed Cox, and he today, this is New York’s New Hampshire. We get to accommodate these people firsthand. It is unequivocally energizing everybody.
And, yes, we consider Trump is vocalization to generally Upstate New York. There is a lot of displeasure about a economy. The Upstate economy has been doing terribly for decades. And a lot of people are upset. The production jobs aren’t here anymore. He’s attracting especially a white, operative middle-class electorate who used to have good jobs, might not have them, are disturbed about their children carrying to leave a state.
And he does unequivocally seem to be resonating a lot some-more than Kasich and Cruz, nonetheless a approach that a representatives are selected, Kasich and Cruz could win some delegates, given it’s congressional district by congressional district, a approach a foe goes.
So they could collect adult some delegates, and that’s what they’re anticipating to do. They know — substantially know during this indicate they can’t win.
JUDY WOODRUFF: So, Beth, when Karen says Trump doesn’t have many of a ground-level organization, does that meant classification doesn’t matter in New York?
BETH FOUHY: Well, he hasn’t had many of an classification anywhere.
I mean, this unequivocally is one of these candidacies that, in a places that he’s won, has been essentially a force of his personality, a force of his celebrity, this genuine energy and tie that he has with certain forms of electorate in opposite states.
New York is even — is all of that and more. we mean, New York is his home state, nonetheless it has altered utterly a lot given he was flourishing adult here. For example, he grow adult in Queens, Judy. Queens is now substantially a many ethnically different place in a whole United States. Flushing, New York, some-more languages oral there than any other place in a United States and has some-more people who are of an newcomer credentials than any other place.
All a things that Trump talks about, a arrange of pulling divided bootleg immigrants, regard about a borders, when he comes behind to his home precinct of Queens, he’s saying American farrago in all of a glory. And that might be a tiny bit discouraging to him, given it’s not utterly a same place that he grew adult in.
Still, he’s very, unequivocally renouned roughly everywhere in New York, and can presumably mangle by and get that 50 percent in all a congressional districts and brush a delegates.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Fascinating.
Just quickly, Karen, so what interest is there for, say, a Ted Cruz to make in New York, or a John Kasich, when Trump seems to have a advantage?
KAREN DEWITT: Well, we consider Cruz did make a genuine mistake behind in Iowa when he discredited New York City values. People haven’t lost that.
New York Republicans are not that conservative. They’re flattering moderate. So we consider Cruz has a genuine plea here. John Kasich seems to be going for some-more of a electeds. He met with a Senate Republicans, perplexing to remonstrate them to maybe tell their friends to opinion for him. He’s perplexing to go a some-more assuage route. He’s hold a lot of city gymnasium meetings, that he seems to surpass in. So, they are perplexing chip divided in sold congressional districts.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Karen, staying with we quickly, branch to a Democrats, who can opinion in a Democratic primary? And does classification matter for a Democrats?
KAREN DEWITT: Yes, it positively does.
Of course, it is sealed usually to Democrats. But we have Hillary Clinton, who has all a determined inaugurated officials, from Governor Cuomo, all a approach down to internal county legislators, to Bernie Sanders, who has a younger folks who are unequivocally encouraged to vote, yet a doubt is, will they unequivocally come out on Election Day? Did they register early enough?
Some of them might have to do absentee ballot. A lot of them are millennials, and we would have to use snail mail to do an absentee ballot, that they are not used to doing. So, can Sanders get as many electorate out as Hillary Clinton approaching can with her support from a vital inaugurated officials, utterly in New York City, and utterly with her support from a vital celebration unions that are ancillary her and will assistance with a get-out-the-vote effort?
JUDY WOODRUFF: That’s right. There is such a thing as snail mail, still.
So, Beth, how do we demeanour during a Clinton-Sanders competition?
BETH FOUHY: Well, it’s a tiny bit closer than a margin on a Republican side, Judy, yet so far, Clinton is utterly a ways forward of Bernie Sanders, and for many, many reasons.
Let’s not forget, she was a senator from New York for 8 years. She was inaugurated in 2000, reelected in 2006. She knows how to run in New York. She knows where to go. She knows a communities she needs to be vocalization to. Plus, she was a flattering well-regarded senator. She paid as many courtesy to a Upstate issues as she did to a folks in a city.
She was really, unequivocally manageable around 9/11 and a needs of a first-responders there, yet also Upstate dairy farms and apple farms and those large cities adult there that, as Karen put it, have been struggling, like a areas around Syracuse, Rochester, that kind of thing.
So, Bernie Sanders, even yet he’s got his thick Brooklyn accent, hasn’t lived in a state for a prolonged time and is not super well-known. He will get those college students out if they’re purebred and can vote, authorised to opinion here as Democrats. He’s got a large unequivocally tonight in Washington Square Park in Manhattan, where tons and tons of immature people are approaching to attend.
He’s been going to a lot of college towns in New York, and there are copiousness of them in this state. So he will get a lot of enthusiasm, that kind of unrestrained that we have seen in other states. But he starts unequivocally good behind her given of her knowledge and her connectors here in New York.
JUDY WOODRUFF: So, Karen, there’s no Brooklyn advantage or no home state advantage for Bernie Sanders?
KAREN DEWITT: Well, we will contend one thing that Sanders is perplexing to gain on is a supposed fractivists.
These are a anti-fracking activities who were successful in convincing Governor Cuomo to anathema fracking in New York. It’s a usually state where it’s illegal. And he’s anticipating that those electorate will come out. They gave Cuomo a primary challenge, upheld Cuomo’s primary challenger behind in 2014.
And his challenger, who, by a way, was a Vermont transplant, Zephyr Teachout, indeed won a series of Upstate counties. So, Bernie Sanders this week pronounced he’s for a national anathema on fracking. He mentions it in his speeches here, and he’s unequivocally perplexing to play that up, anticipating he can get those progressives out, a tiny group, yet unequivocally encouraged voters.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Well, it is a lot of representatives during stake, and we know a possibilities are operative a state hard. And we appreciate both of we for giving us this insight.
Beth Fouhy and Karen DeWitt, appreciate we both.
BETH FOUHY: Thanks, Judy.
KAREN DEWITT: Thank you.